Altında kritik viraj: Dönerse paralar yanacak

Marbaş Menkul Değerler Yatırım Uzmanı Aziz Kaçmaz, bu hafta küresel piyasaların odaklandığı ABD enflasyon verisi ve altın fiyatlarındaki yükseliş üzerine önemli değerlendirmelerde bulundu. Kaçmaz’a göre, altında son haftalardaki ralli iki temel nedene dayanıyor: jeopolitik riskler ve FED’e yönelik faiz indirimi beklentileri.

</p><h3>ALTINI SAVAŞ VE FAİZ İNDİRİM BEKLENTİLERİ BESLİYOR </h3><p>Kaçmaz, altındaki yükselişin arkasında ilk olarak jeopolitik tansiyonun etkili olduğunu belirtti. Rusya, Çin ve Hindistan’ın son dönemde artan temasları ile birlikte, eski ABD Başkanı Donald Trump’ın daha sert açıklamalarda bulunmasının, savaş riskini yeniden gündeme getirdiğini söyleyen Kaçmaz, bu durumun güvenli liman olan altına yönelimi artırdığını ifade etti.</p><p>İkinci etkenin ise, ABD’den gelen zayıf istihdam verileri sonrası güçlenen FED faiz indirimi beklentisi olduğunu belirten Kaçmaz, “<strong>Piyasa artık Eylül toplantısında faiz indirimi ihtimalini yüzde yüz fiyatlıyor. Hatta 25 baz puan değil, 50 baz puanlık indirim bile olasılık dahilinde”</strong> dedi.</p><p><img alt="Türkiye'de yastık altında ne kadar altın var?" src="https://i11.haber7.net//haber/haber7/thumbs//2025/37/turkiyede_yastik_altinda_ne_kadar_altin_var_1757508149_6421.jpg"><strong>Türkiye'de yastık altında ne kadar altın var?</strong></p><h3>'DÜZELTMELER SINIRLI KALABİLİR'</h3><p>Kaçmaz, altındaki bu yükselişin ardından kısa vadede bir dinlenme ya da geri çekilme ihtimali olsa da, bu düzeltmelerin sınırlı kalacağını vurguladı:</p><aside class="hp-inline-related hp-inline-related--t1" data-hp-related-random="1" data-hp-related-id="283826" data-hp-related-url="https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/batman-da-tup-cep-yakiyor-283826.html" data-hp-related-title="Batman’da tüp, cep yakıyor" data-hp-related-hit="/api/hit.php?pixel=1&type=news&id=283826&token=728df0ba29e0be85906244871ec09689b19b419ce63e23b8f0d2afae956713da"><a class="hp-inline-related__card" href="https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/batman-da-tup-cep-yakiyor-283826.html"><span class="hp-inline-related__media"><img src="/files/uploads/news/default/agency-aigf-4a8ee7c04efc60167549986d.webp" alt="" loading="lazy" decoding="async"></span><span class="hp-inline-related__body"><span class="hp-inline-related__label">İlgili haber</span><strong class="hp-inline-related__title">Batman’da tüp, cep yakıyor</strong></span></a></aside><p><strong>“Jeopolitik risklerin ve FED kaynaklı beklentilerin olduğu ortamda altındaki geri çekilmeler sınırlı kalmaya mahkum görünüyor. Çünkü zaten faiz indirimi süreci başlayacak ve küresel gerginlikler dinmiş değil.”</strong></p><p><img alt="Goldman Sachs'ın ardından UBS'ten yeni altın tahmini" src="https://i11.haber7.net//haber/haber7/thumbs//2025/37/altin_rekora_doymuyor_dev_banka_altin_tahminini_yukseltti_1757658463_9846.jpg"><strong>Goldman Sachs'ın ardından UBS'ten yeni altın tahmini</strong></p><p>Altın fiyatlarında orta vadeli görünümün yatay-pozitif olduğunu söyleyen Kaçmaz, piyasada 4.000 dolar seviyesinin telaffuz edilmeye başlandığını belirtti. Ancak bu seviyeye ulaşmanın ani olmayacağını şu sözlerle aktardı:</p><aside class="hp-inline-related hp-inline-related--t5" data-hp-related-random="1" data-hp-related-id="283820" data-hp-related-url="https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/eminevim-600-bininci-rekor-teslimatini-batman-a-yapti-283820.html" data-hp-related-title="Eminevim 600 bininci rekor teslimatını Batman’a yaptı" data-hp-related-hit="/api/hit.php?pixel=1&type=news&id=283820&token=1eb7ea28d2062b95cf5522024fcaac04a96dc9f647d020a1c9467708a3654b87"><a class="hp-inline-related__card" href="https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/eminevim-600-bininci-rekor-teslimatini-batman-a-yapti-283820.html"><span class="hp-inline-related__media"><img src="/files/uploads/news/default/agency-aigf-b4f4cfa4316e191b374c0bb9.webp" alt="" loading="lazy" decoding="async"></span><span class="hp-inline-related__body"><span class="hp-inline-related__label">İlgili haber</span><strong class="hp-inline-related__title">Eminevim 600 bininci rekor teslimatını Batman’a yaptı</strong></span></a></aside><p><strong>“Bu hareketin hızlı olması için ya FED’in beklentilerin ötesinde agresif bir faiz indirimi yapması, ya da jeopolitik risklerin sert şekilde tırmanması gerekir. Aksi durumda yükseliş yavaş tempoda devam eder.”</strong></p><p><img alt="Altın rekor üstüne rekor kırıyor! İşte güncel fiyatlar" src="https://i11.haber7.net//haber/haber7/thumbs//2025/37/altin_rekor_ustune_rekor_kiriyor_iste_guncel_fiyatlar_1757657803_6561.jpg"><strong>Altın rekor üstüne rekor kırıyor! İşte güncel fiyatlar</strong></p><p>Teknik analiz açısından da değerlendirme yapan Kaçmaz, ons altında 3.600 dolar seviyesinin kritik olduğunu vurguladı:</p><p><strong>“3.600 doların üzerinde kaldığı sürece yukarı yönlü isteklilik sürecektir. Ancak bu seviyenin altına inersek, 3.500 dolara kadar bir düzeltme görebiliriz.”</strong></p><p><b>Kaynak:</b> HABER7.COM</p> #ESHAHABER.COM.TR #haber #gündem #sondakika #news #press #worldnews</article><script type="application/json" id="hp-rel-pool">{"cur":{"id":256172,"cat":5,"tags":["altında","kritik","viraj","dönerse","paralar","yanacak"]},"pool":[{"id":283826,"url":"https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/batman-da-tup-cep-yakiyor-283826.html","title":"Batman’da tüp, cep yakıyor","img":"/files/uploads/news/default/agency-aigf-4a8ee7c04efc60167549986d.webp","hit":"/api/hit.php?pixel=1\u0026type=news\u0026id=283826\u0026token=728df0ba29e0be85906244871ec09689b19b419ce63e23b8f0d2afae956713da","cat":5,"tags":[]},{"id":283820,"url":"https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/eminevim-600-bininci-rekor-teslimatini-batman-a-yapti-283820.html","title":"Eminevim 600 bininci rekor teslimatını Batman’a yaptı","img":"/files/uploads/news/default/agency-aigf-b4f4cfa4316e191b374c0bb9.webp","hit":"/api/hit.php?pixel=1\u0026type=news\u0026id=283820\u0026token=1eb7ea28d2062b95cf5522024fcaac04a96dc9f647d020a1c9467708a3654b87","cat":5,"tags":[]},{"id":283816,"url":"https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/siirt-te-kiralar-20-bin-tl-den-basliyor-283816.html","title":"Siirt’te Kiralar 20 Bin TL’den Başlıyor","img":"/files/uploads/news/default/agency-aigf-678c8bad976b07f429159faf.webp","hit":"/api/hit.php?pixel=1\u0026type=news\u0026id=283816\u0026token=a674c0e83fcb121b6fef632b5cc01092f89748e6c61ac1eea4f306072c4b80a3","cat":5,"tags":[]},{"id":283850,"url":"https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/gaziantep-te-42-yasindaki-muhammet-t-nin-supheli-olumu-283850.html","title":"Gaziantep’te 42 yaşındaki Muhammet T.’nin şüpheli ölümü","img":"/files/uploads/news/default/agency-aigf-f78a0a796628b37cfe093ce0.webp","hit":"/api/hit.php?pixel=1\u0026type=news\u0026id=283850\u0026token=99e74d588eb64bcecfdece7350fe22c8f9b4ba1fa01799abfad674374f04ebfe","cat":10,"tags":[]},{"id":283849,"url":"https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/6-yillik-hayal-yeniden-siirt-ile-podyuma-tasindi-283849.html","title":"6 YILLIK HAYAL “YENİDEN SİİRT” İLE PODYUMA TAŞINDI","img":"/files/uploads/news/default/agency-aigf-b81d6ddd3cf88a8a161f1295.webp","hit":"/api/hit.php?pixel=1\u0026type=news\u0026id=283849\u0026token=63c6b3b8af8867b1d1f6338cb5b0459a7f3023496f3a2d6fbb661e441e3c75dd","cat":1,"tags":[]},{"id":283848,"url":"https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/batman-da-ust-duzey-kisilere-kumar-operasyonu-283848.html","title":"Batman’da üst düzey kişilere kumar operasyonu!","img":"/files/uploads/news/default/agency-aigf-dfb5cf71e58e16ded85d0995.webp","hit":"/api/hit.php?pixel=1\u0026type=news\u0026id=283848\u0026token=4cf58ecc574dec63345206ca907dcdf65e4db1343f8f461c44a5b890682c6e7b","cat":10,"tags":[]},{"id":283847,"url":"https://www.eshahaber.com.tr/haber/aile-faciasi-annesini-ve-ablasini-oldurdu-283847.html","title":"Aile faciası! 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style="--hp-block-pattern-light:none;--hp-block-pattern-size-light:cover;--hp-block-pattern-dark:none;--hp-block-pattern-size-dark:cover;background-image:var(--hp-block-pattern-current,none);background-size:var(--hp-block-pattern-size-current,cover);background-position:center;background-repeat:no-repeat;--hp-global-block-border-width:0px;--hp-global-block-border-color:var(--hp-border)" data-hp-classes-mobile="bg-transparent" data-hp-classes-tablet="bg-transparent" data-hp-classes-desktop="bg-transparent" data-hp-active-classes="bg-transparent"><div class="hp-global-block-body"><aside class="hp-google-source hp-google-source--turkhaber p-0 bg-transparent" aria-label="Haberlerimizi Google’da Takip Edin" data-hp-classes-mobile="hp-google-source hp-google-source--turkhaber p-0 bg-transparent" data-hp-classes-tablet="hp-google-source hp-google-source--turkhaber p-0 bg-transparent" data-hp-classes-desktop="hp-google-source hp-google-source--turkhaber p-0 bg-transparent" 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